Radar — KAMA
Surface Analysis — Central U.S. (South)
Satellite
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Nearest monitored road: East Amarillo Boulevard (Primary)
Issued at 951 PM CDT sat oct 31 2026
- low ceilings and patchy low visibility overnight.
- thunderstorms with a posisbility of severe weather late sunday night
- windy day for monday afternoon
(tonight through monday night) issued at 951 PM CDT sat oct 31 2026
Quiet weather has been observed this evening across the area although things are changing. Looking for patchy areas of fog reducing visibilities at times overnight across portions of the area. Latest model trends suggest that while the fog could be dense in areas it does not linger for too long. However low ceilings are likely to develop quickly tonight and continue for a good portion of the day sunday. Evening ir satellite imagery showing a strong influx of moisture into southern ca and az into the mountain west states. Radar imagery showing a large precipitation shield from the la area into southern az ahead of the trough off the west coast. 80KT 500mb jet in the east pacific on the back side of the trough will keep it digging while an 80KT sub tropical jet moves into the southwestern states. During the day sunday these systems will begin to merge and start shifting east. By late sunday evening the stronger upper level winds will be moving from nm into west tx with developing surface low pressure in eastern co. At the same time a developing 40KT low level jet from west tx into western ks will increase. The net effect will be for a rapid increase in wind SHEAR with a very favorable wind profile across the region late sunday into early monday morning. Strong forcing with diffluent flow in the mid levels will promote upward motion moving from nm into west tx overnight. Forecast soundings are showing a very moist profile with tall skinny CAPE however SHEAR profiles are favorable for supercells. Cam's are showing the development of a line of thunderstorms across nm by early evening and then racing to the east. In additon uh tracks are showing some long lived corridors from nm into west tx overnight.
(tuesday through next saturday) issued at 951 PM CDT sat oct 31 2026
As the trough moves east into the central u.S. A belt of stronger winds will remain across the region on monday. There is the potential for strong winds of 45-50 MPH monday afternoon. As the trough pulls away the gradient will relax and the winds will subside by monday evening. The longer range looks potentially active with another trough moving across the area by mid week and and the pattern stays relatively active even beyond the forecast period.
(00Z tafs) issued at 648 PM CDT sat oct 31 2026
Last few images from the visible satellite showing low clouds lingering in the eastern panhandle with some high clouds moving across the western panhandles. Challenge for the overnight will be the return of low cigs and vsby. At this time it seems like there could be scattered areas of low vsby associated with fog. Higher confidence in forecast is for IFR/LIFR cigs and as early as 06Z in some areas. We could see LIFR as early as 06Z in guy and a couple hours later in ama. Dht will be the last to see the LIFR cigs towards 12Z. Expecting to see these low cigs continue into sunday with IFR across most of the area. The one excepton would be the northwestern sections where cigs will be MVFR.