Radar — KFFC
Surface Analysis — Eastern U.S. (South)
Satellite
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- drier conditions are expected today and tomorrow, giving US a break from the heat.
- thunderstorm chances return on saturday morning and into the afternoon. A few storms could be strong to severe during the afternoon.
- afternoon storm chances will continue through the weekend and into next week.
(today through friday) issued at 450 AM EDT thu jul 30 2026
An overall less active pattern is expected through the short term. For the afternoon, less oppressive temperatures are expected for most of the cwa. Highs in the upper 80S and low 90S but with dewpoints in the 60S making it feel a lot more comfortable than what we've seen over the past few days.
This trend will continue as we go into the second half of the work week, with pleasant temperatures and minimal chances of afternoon thunderstorms over the next 36 hours. Storms return to the forecast on saturday morning as another front moves in from the west.
(friday night through wednesday) issued at 450 AM EDT thu jul 30 2026
The long-term forecast period will be characterized primarily by a sharp increase in overall rain chances as well as a general decrease in afternoon high temperatures amid more widespread cloud cover and convection. An upper trough will dig into the eastern conus by saturday, sending a surface low into the ohio valley and its attendant frontal boundary into the forecast area. This will send deep tropical moisture streaming quickly back northward into the area after the brief reprieve we will have experienced late this week. With pwats forecast to surge back into the 2 - 2.25" range by saturday, widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected. While the severe threat currently looks rather limited, locally heavy rainfall will be a concern given the environment, and as such WPC already has a "marginal" excessive rainfall out for our area on saturday.
The front is progged to make gradual progress into the area on sunday, keeping pops quite high in advance. Again, locally heavy rainfall will remain the primary concern. Additionally, a weak upper low looks develop within the trough axis that will bisect the forecast area by late weekend into early next week. As such, while the surface front will gradually push eastward and wash out, the presence of the weak meandering upper low should provide sufficient lift for continued scattered diurnally-enhanced convection through early next week before upper riding looks to make a gradual return thereafter.
As mentioned above, more widespread cloud cover/rainfall will keep high temperatures more tempered in the 80S to perhaps low 90S, though overnight lows will creep back into the 70S.
(06Z tafs) issued at 133 AM EDT thu jul 30 2026
VFR conditions expected. Winds out of the NW will shift to the NE around 09Z, before they return to the NW around 17Z. Winds are expected to be less than 10KTS through the day. A cu field brining low VFR will form after 17Z.
//atl confidence...06Z update...
High on all elements.
Vaughn
Athens 92 69 93 71 / 0 0 0 0 atlanta 92 70 93 73 / 0 0 0 0 blairsville 83 61 85 65 / 0 0 0 0 cartersville 90 65 92 70 / 0 0 0 10 columbus 95 73 95 75 / 10 0 10 10 gainesville 90 68 91 70 / 0 0 0 0 macon 95 72 95 73 / 0 0 10 10 rome 90 65 91 70 / 0 0 0 20 peachtree city 92 67 93 71 / 0 0 0 10 vidalia 97 74 96 74 / 0 0 30 0