Weather Lookup

Key Messages

Updated at 146 AM EDT sun nov 1 2026

- moderate coastal flooding remains possible through at least sunday. Inundated roadways along coastal areas will be possible during times of high tide.

- dangerous marine and beach conditions are expected across the atlantic coast.

- slight risk (level 2/4) for heavy rain leading to isolated flash flooding sunday afternoon through monday morning.

Short Term

(rest of today through sunday) issued at 402 PM EDT sat oct 31 2026

Model consensus remains consistent in showing a mid-lvl disturbance over the E gulf reaching the florida peninsula later tonight into sunday. Pops/wx nbm coverage has been in an upward trend during the past several iterations, with latest solutions pushing max pops into the 70-80% range for much of soflo sunday afternoon. The increasing instability and dynamic forcing ahead of the disturbance will result in widespread shower and thunderstorm activity, starting sunday morning. Model pwats show 2+ inches, along with steeper lapse rates and increasing CAPE.

The weather prediction center (WPC) keeps a marginal risk of excessive rainfall for most of soflo on sunday, which is level 1 of 4. But for the atlantic metro areas the risk increases to slight sunday afternoon, which is level 2 of 4. An important factor is the saturated soils across the area from all the rain of the past several days, especially the developed-concrete urban areas, where localized flooding impacts are expected. An isolated flash flooding event or two are certainly possible with the heaviest downpours, training of cells, and with slow or stationary storms.

The ongoing coastal hazards are expected to continue through sunday across the atlantic coastline. Please see the beach forecast section below for specific details about the coastal products in effect.

Afternoon max temperatures today should remain in the mid-upper 80S, while overnight lows should drop into the low-mid 70S inland, and mid-upper 70S elsewhere.

Long Term

(monday through friday) issued at 322 AM EDT sat oct 31 2026

For the first part of next week we return to a pattern consisting of ridging aloft and moderate easterly flow around the base of a low- level ridge. That means a return to scattered passing showers each day and night. The pattern will change a bit come mid-week when flow begins to veer ahead of a developing/approaching frontal system. There's still quite a bit of uncertainty around the pre-frontal environment and how mesoscale features will affect storm distribution each day, but guidance is in fair agreement of a frontal passage some time on friday. How strong and how far south the surface low will be, and what that means for the potential for an isolated severe storm or two, remains in question with quite a bit of model spread. Certainly something to keep an eye on once we get past this weekends heavy rain threat.

Aviation

(06Z tafs) issued at 146 AM EDT sun nov 1 2026

The main concerns today will be gusty winds and periods of heavy rainfall. While there is high confidence in the wind forecast at all terminals, the rain forecast remains low. Guidance suggests a band of heavy rain setting up somewhere along the east coast of florida today, with the highest probabilities near fxe and fll (included prob groups here), spreading north closer to djt in the late afternoon. Then scattered showers and storms are expected to become more numerous and widespread late sunday into monday morning.

Marine

Issued at 322 AM EDT sat oct 31 2026

Winds across the local atlantic waters will increase through the morning, with gusts reaching the 20-25 KT range, while seas will build up to 7-10 ft (by late tonight) along the gulf stream. Conditions across the gulf will remain below hazardous criteria, but will need to be monitored closely. These impacts could last through the rest of the weekend as the stout pressure gradient and breezy easterly northeasterly winds prevail. Isolated showers remain possible today, with more widespread rain chances late this weekend.

Beaches

Issued at 322 AM EDT sat oct 31 2026

Persistent and strong onshore flow will keep a high risk of rip currents in place for the foreseeable future. Additionally, the strengthening winds and building seas will result in surf heights reaching advisory levels by this afternoon along palm beach and broward beaches.

Hydrology

Issued at 322 AM EDT sat oct 31 2026

Though we're on the back side of the king tide peak, water levels are struggling to fall below moderate stage during high tide cycles due to the persistent, and at times strong, onshore flow. There may be a brief window where we're able to fall below moderate flood stage late sunday through monday, but once the easterly flow becomes established again early next week, guidance indicates the potential to flirt with moderate flood stage once again. We certainly won't be dealing with the levels seen during the peak of the king tides, but a prolonged period of at least minor impacts at high tide should be expected through much of next week.

Preliminary Point Temps/Pops

Miami 82 74 82 74 / 70 80 80 50 west kendall 84 74 83 74 / 70 70 80 30 opa-locka 83 74 83 73 / 80 80 80 50 homestead 84 74 84 74 / 70 70 80 40 fort lauderdale 81 73 81 73 / 80 80 80 60 N ft lauderdale 82 74 82 74 / 80 80 80 60 pembroke pines 84 73 83 73 / 80 70 80 50 west palm beach 82 72 82 72 / 60 70 80 60 boca raton 81 73 81 74 / 70 80 80 60 naples 84 71 83 70 / 80 50 60 10