Radar — KSOX
Surface Analysis — Western U.S. (South)
Satellite
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Nearest monitored road: South Main Street (Primary)
16/1228 PM.
Generally quiet weather expected with cooler than normal temperatures and a robust marine layer through thursday. Slight warming and shrinking marine layer friday into the weekend.
16/1802Z.
At 1714Z at klax, the marine layer was 4800 feet deep. The top of the inversion was at 6000 feet with a temperature of 16 c.
High confidence in tafs for kpmd and kwjf.
Moderate confidence in remaining tafs. Timing of flight cat changes could be off by +/- 3 hours. CST and vly airfields of l.a. County will likely not scatter out this afternoon with VFR cigs.
Klax...moderate confidence in taf. There is a 70% chance for no afternoon clearing. There is a 30 percent chc of an 8 KT east wind component thru 19Z.
Kbur...moderate confidence in taf. There is a 70% chance for no afternoon clearing.
16/105 PM.
For the outer waters, generally high confidence in the current forecast. Winds and seas will remain below small craft advisory (sca) levels through thursday. Winds are likely to increase to sca levels thursday night and continue through monday night, most prevalent and long-lasting for the waters west and south of point conception. Expect steep, choppy seas with the sca conditions.
For the inner waters N of point sal, generally high confidence in the current forecast. Conds are expected to be below sca levels through friday morning, then sca wind gusts are likely during the afternoons and evenings from friday through monday.
For the inner waters S of point conception, moderate to high confidence in the current forecast. Conds are expected to be below sca levels for the most part through monday night. However, for the western santa barbara channel, there is a 60% chance of sca wind gusts friday evening, a 50% chance of these gusts monday evening, and a 30% chance of these gusts saturday evening and sunday evening.