Radar — KFCX
Surface Analysis — Eastern U.S. (Central)
Satellite
Log in to save this location.
Nearest monitored road: US-11 (Primary)
Scattered cumulus over the mountains with clear skies east of the blue ridge. All areas expected to be clear overnight with exception of late night river valley fog within the mountain valleys. Forecast remains on track for thursday and beyond with return of heat and humidity leading to scattered showers and a few thunderstorms.
1) opportunity for scattered afternoon/evening showers/storms beginning thursday and continuing through early next week.
Key message 1: opportunity for scattered afternoon/evening showers/storms beginning thursday and continuing through early next week.
Expect development of river valley fog in the mountain valleys again tonight otherwise remaining mostly clear and dry until return of deeper moisture thursday afternoon.
The upper ridge of high pressure over the tn valley is forecast to weaken and retrograde farther west and become centered over the ark-la-tex by the weekend. This will allow a front over the great lakes to sag south over the mid-atlantic with increasing moisture leading to a daily chance for showers and a few storms beginning thursday and persisting through early next week. Overall, severe threat remains low given lack of SHEAR to support organized deep convection.
Warmest temperatures will occur thursday and friday, featuring widespread upper 80S to mid 90S. Will see temperatures lower somewhat again over the weekend and early next week as the ridging shifts west, but will still be above normal for mid september.
Mainly clear skies expected through tonight. Low stratus and areas of fog is expected to develop within the mountain valleys again tonight with potential impacts to bcb,lwb,blf,gev,and tnb between 06Z-14Z. Should begin to see this fog dissipate by 14Z/10AM. After 14Z/10AM increasing moisture will lead to cloud buildups by early afternoon thursday with development of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Still too early to place within the tafs, but models suggest development to take place along the higher mountain terrain then move southeast during the mid and late afternoon thursday.
Winds through the taf period are expected to be less than 10KTS.
Extended aviation outlook...
Mainly diurnal shower/storm chances thu-mon especially over the mountains, but activity is not expected to be organized and mainly coinciding with the heating of the day.