Radar — KBMX
Surface Analysis — Central U.S. (South)
Satellite
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Nearest monitored road: University Boulevard (Primary)
Issued at 145 PM CDT wed sep 16 2026
- persistent heat: above normal temperatures continue into this weekend, with high temperatures reaching as high as the middle 90S to near 100 degrees. Take extra precautions with any extended or strenuous outdoor activities.
(this afternoon through tuesday) issued at 145 PM CDT wed sep 16 2026
A large upper ridge currently centered over tennessee that is suppressing convection across central alabama is expected to retrograde over the next couple of days. By friday, the ridge should extend from arkansas to central texas. This shift will occur in conjunction with a bit of energy breaking off over the western atlantic from the main northern upper flow. This shortwave is expected to form a closed low over the next couple of days over florida, slowly nudge westward, and then help to push and degrade the ridge. What does this mean for central alabama? We will continue with hot and dry weather over the next couple of days. Over the weekend as the upper low moves closer to US, low rain chances will return by saturday, first in the eastern counties, as this area will be closest to the low with the best focus. However, initially, this weekend, overall moisture will be limited, so QPF amounts are low. For monday into tuesday, guidance brings the upper low further westward over the northern gulf coast. This will begin to allow for better moisture to filter into the state. Low to medium chances for convection will occur by this point with the probability of slightly higher rain amounts for a lucky few, but not enough to alleviate current dry/drought conditions. However, the better rain chances will allow for high temperatures a couple of degrees lower.
08
(18Z tafs) issued at 1247 PM CDT wed sep 16 2026
VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours across central alabama with east to southeast flow into the area around a mid atlantic surface ridge. No convection is anticipated with only 5- 8KTS winds with mixing and fair weather cumulus.
Amd not sked is appended at auo due to missing observations.
08
Fire weather concerns remain low at this time, although compounding effects from intensifying drought conditions may arise. Daily minrh through the weekend is forecast to average between 30 to 40%. Shower and thunderstorm chances are unlikely through friday, but low chances will return this weekend in the eastern portions of central alabama and for all by early next week.
Gadsden 68 95 70 98 / 0 0 0 0 anniston 67 93 69 96 / 0 0 0 0 birmingham 71 94 72 97 / 0 0 0 0 tuscaloosa 71 97 71 100 / 0 0 0 0 calera 69 94 70 97 / 0 0 0 0 auburn 67 90 69 94 / 0 0 0 0 montgomery 68 92 68 96 / 0 0 0 0 troy 67 91 66 95 / 0 0 0 0